For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. How can Arkansas Democrats win more voters? Data from 2022 holds clues 27.5% of the state voted Democrat. For example, Frank White unseated Bill Clinton in the 1980 gubernatorial election, but Clinton was returned to office handily in 1982. No coherent state Democratic organization developed in this period despite the partys continued electoral success in state and local politics. On April 2, 2013, he presented the National School Shield plan during a news conference at the National Press Club. The central force behind the explosive growth . The news story noted that Hutchinson was unable to touch his stock for another two years. Arkansas has voted Republican in nine of the last 12 presidential elections except in 1976 for Jimmy Carter . Arkansas tends to be republican based on voting results in recent elections. Between 1900 and 2020, Arkansas participated in 31 presidential elections. Sobel's reference is included here for consistency with the other entries: Governor-elect Flanagin was not sworn in until November 15, 1862; Some sources state Flanagin left office on April 18, 1864, but that was when Isaac Murphy was sworn in as governor by, On March 14, 1864, a new state constitution was ratified by. Hutchinson did support John McCain's and Russ Feingold's Senate bill. NBC News is tracking and updating daily the number of coronavirus related deaths in each state and U.S. territory, as well as the jobless claims as reported weekly by the Department of Labor that counts how many people have filed for unemployment benefits. Tap or hover to see names. Arkansas voted Democratic over a span of 23 consecutive elections from Reconstruction until 1964. In September, 24% of Democrats supported Issue 1 while . Senator Dale Bumpers. In 1998, Hutchinson was reelected to the House with far less difficulty, taking 81% of the vote against a third party challenger. A bellwether is any indicator or predictor of something. This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. First, we want to emphasize again that FiveThirtyEight partisan leans are expressions of relative partisanship; that is, they dont necessarily tell us how red or blue a place is in absolute terms. [45] An amendment to the constitution, passed in 1914 but not recognized until 1925,[46] recreated the office of lieutenant governor, who becomes governor in case of vacancy of the governor's office. A map showing red states, blue states, and swing states as of the 2016 Election. [11], After the September 11 attacks, Congress created the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). More on that in a minute.) Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. Mary Radcliffe, Aaron Bycoffe, Nate Silver and Geoffrey Skelley contributed research. Most Republican States [Updated April 2023] - 2023 World Population by Arkansas has not elected any Democratic candidates to statewide office since 2010, when Mike Beebe, Dustin McDaniel, and Martha Shoffner were re-elected as governor, attorney general, and treasurer and Charlie Daniels was elected as state auditor. Longtime readers may already be familiar with the concept, since weve used it in several analyses over the years (not to mention our election forecast models). Tim Hutchinson's identical twin sons, Jeremy and Timothy Chad Hutchinson, were the first twins to serve together in the Arkansas General Assembly, both as members of the House of Representatives. In 2016, 61.5% of the population of South Dakota voted Republican. He is the mayor of Little Rock, Arkansas, serving since January 2019. Still, while Democrats long fended off any sustained Republican development, recent trendsespecially the historic results in the 2010, 2012, and 2014 election cyclesindicate that the change that has come to other Southern states with the rise of a competitive Republican Party has taken root in Arkansas. Last fall, Joe Biden became the first Democratic presidential candidate to win Arizona since 1996 and the first to carry Georgia since 1992. Blair, Diane D., and Jay Barth. These 20 Republicans voted with Democrats to block the censure of Adam Schiff. @baseballot, 2022 Election (352 posts) 2d ed. Rockefeller was a racial liberal who developed a coalition of progressive Democrats disenchanted with the conservative Faubus machine, newly enfranchised African Americans, and traditional Republicans to gain the office and reelection in 1968 over Faubus protgs. Sources suggest he resigned because he was so badly defeated in the election. Roy Cooper's . [9], Over the years, the Republican Party spread from its geographic base in the Ozarks,[10] largely through individual conversion. Hutchinson then became co-chair, with Sheffield Nelson, of the Arkansas Republican Party, a position he held from 1991 through 1995, the last four years as full chair. It elected three Republican governors following Reconstruction, but after the Democratic Party re-established control, 92 years passed before voters chose another Republican. [16][17], Hutchinson agreed to serve on The Constitution Project's Guantanamo Task Force in December 2010. Arkansas's long history as a solid Democratic state ended some time ago. President of the Senate Moore acted as governor until the legislature adjourned, Donaghey lost the Democratic nomination to. Compared to other nearby states, Arkansas has more republican voters. Why Mike Pence Is Starting His Presidential Campaign From A Disadvantage. Fayetteville, AR Political Map - Democrat & Republican Areas in Republican Democratic Ind Green Vacant End of the 90th General Assembly 68 31 1 0 100 0 Beginning of the 91st General Assembly 76 24 0 0 100 0 End of the 91st General Assembly 76 24 0 0 This was the region of the slaveholding plantations, and swamp Democrats generally voted in the interests of Arkansas planters and merchants. Lieutenant governors represented the same party as their governor unless noted. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Although Henry outspent Hutchinson during the campaign, the district's heavy Republican tilt and his brother Tim's presence atop the ballot helped Asa win with 56% of the vote. Representative Steve Womack of Arkansas; 2024 presidential candidates: . Arkansas Issue 2, 60% Supermajority Vote Requirement for - Ballotpedia [39][40] This led to some situations where the governorship changed hands in quick succession, due to senate terms ending or new senate presidents being elected. The Republican Party controls the offices of governor, secretary of state, attorney general, and both chambers of the state legislature. 6 2020 ELECTION Trump Wins 2020 Arkansas Polls Recent Presidential Elections Show: Presidential Voting History State voted with the overall winning candidate 1976 D 1980 R 1984 R 1988 R 1992 D 1996 D 2000 R 2004 R 2008 R 2012 R Generally, the period was marked by more individual candidates than the "factions" that defined politics in other Southern states, or a "ruling class" like The Family of early Arkansas. Arkansas Election Results 2020 | Live Map Updates - POLITICO Frustration about the nonresponsiveness of government grew among farmers in the mid-1880s, as revealed by the growth of populist organizations such as the Farmers Alliance and the Agricultural Wheel. [43], Hutchinson demanded that Republicans who tried to overturn the 2020 presidential election and spread Donald Trump's "Big Lie" about mass voter fraud not be put in positions of leadership. The Democratic Party's dominance of state and local elections (outside northwestern Arkansas, which had housed Republicans since the Civil War era) was just as impressive. [31] When Little Rock, the state capital, was captured on September 10, 1863, the state government relocated to Washington, Arkansas, and a Union government was installed in its place, causing an overlap in the terms of Confederate governor Harris Flanagin and Union governor Isaac Murphy. The current governor of Arkansas is Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who was sworn in on January 10, 2023. In 1982, President Ronald Reagan appointed Hutchinson to serve as the U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas, which covers most of Fort Smith. In 2016, Donald Trump won 60 percent of the vote in Arkansas, according to NBC News results, while Hillary Clinton received 34 percent. North Dakota is considered a safe state for Republicans meaning that the party garners strong majority support during elections. Lt. Gov. Miller resigned citing poor health; at the time of his resignation, he had been absent from the territory for 18 months. As of June 26, 2023, there are 22 Republican trifectas, 17 Democratic trifectas, and 11 divided . Can a Democrat Still Get Elected in Arkansas? - NBC News - Breaking The Senate confirmed Hutchinson by unanimous consent on January 23, 2003. This is why Cook PVI tends to be around half of FiveThirtyEights partisan lean score. Federal courts | Ironically, this ultimate triumph for the Arkansas Democrats led to the partys first lasting electoral difficulties in the modern era. Party affiliation among adults in Arkansas - Pew Research Center Utah Utah has voted Republican in the last 12 election cycles and in the last 4, this has been with over 60% of the vote. [32] During the post-war Reconstruction period, it was part of the Fourth Military District. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. Tied No results yet Size of victory. The current party chair is Grant Tennille . The program the Republican Party of Arkansas' largest fundraiser will begin at 7 p.m., with a private VIP reception at 6 p.m. List of Red States (Republican States) - World Map / World Atlas [1], Arkansas presidential election results (1900-2020). On November 16, 2015, Hutchinson said that he would block all Syrian refugees from entering the state in response to the November 2015 Paris attacks. From 2020 to 2021, Hutchinson served as vice chair of the National Governors Association. As U.S. Attorney, Hutchinson personally negotiated a peaceful conclusion to the standoff. [30], In February 2019, Hutchinson signed a bill into law that would criminalize abortion in the event Roe v. Wade is overturned. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. In 1990, Hutchinson ran against Winston Bryant for attorney general of Arkansas; he lost a close race. Democrats enjoyed distinct advantages in Arkansas politics at the legislative and local level as the Republican Party lagged in development and candidate recruitment. 100 Rock Street "Arkansas Term Limits, Proposed Amendment 4 (1992)", "Arkansas Senate Leadership President Pro Tempore Majority Leader Minority Leader", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Democratic_Party_of_Arkansas&oldid=1148219690, William A. Gwatney Democratic Headquarters, This page was last edited on 4 April 2023, at 20:22. Ironically, this ultimate triumph for the Arkansas Democrats led to the party's first lasting electoral difficulties in the modern era. Senator Joe T. Robinson (who became Democratic majority leader), Congressman Wilbur D. Mills (who became chair of the Ways and Means Committee), Senator J. William Fulbright (longtime chair of the Foreign Relations Committee), and Senator John L. McClellan (father of the McClellan-Kerr dam system) exemplify the power that the state had in Washington DC during this era. Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Press, 1999. Issue 1 continues to receive greater support from Republicans (54%) than Democrats (30%) with the biggest shift coming from the latter group. Passage of Issue 1 would allow Arkansas Legislature to call itself into State and local courts | Politics & Voting in Arkadelphia, Arkansas - Sperling's BestPlaces Redeemer politicians in Arkansas were typically prominent, landowning, white men of the former planter class, who retained control of soft and hard power through Jim Crow laws, disenfranchisement, and racial violence. The 2016 was no exception, with the Republican candidate receiving 51.3% of the vote. He practiced law in Fort Smith for 21 years and handled more than 100 jury trials. Additional support provided by the Charles M. and Joan R. Taylor Foundation Inc. All Rights Reserved. All of these elections were won with between 53% and 62.9% popularity. As a reminder, partisan leans for all 50 states (plus Washington, D.C.) and all 435 congressional districts are publicly accessible on our GitHub page. Individual Campaign Contributions in Craighead County, AR In the last 4 years (2018-2021), there were 1,208 contributions totaling $163,880 to the Democratic Party and liberal campaigns, averaging $136 per contribution. Oldham acted as governor for six days before a new president of the senate was elected. The candidates: Dr. Greg Bledsoe He led efforts to crack down on illegal drugs, particularly methamphetamine. Fishback was out of state for a period in 1893; during that time. Arkansas election results, 2022 - Ballotpedia The current governor of Arkansas is Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who was sworn in on January 10, 2023. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state. How to run for office | The decade from 2010 through 2019 provided a wholesale Republican convulsion in Arkansas. So now that you know what our new partisan lean scores are, lets talk about how and how not to use them. Average margin difference between how each state votes and how the country votes overall in congressional and gubernatorial elections, according to a blend of presidential and state-legislative election results, Sources: State election websites, Daily Kos Elections, Weve also calculated partisan lean for every congressional district, which you can find on our GitHub page. Currently in its 12th consecutive Republican streak, the last 5 elections have been won with over 60% popularity. [9], Hutchinson unsuccessfully tried to modify the civil asset forfeiture reform bill that sought to prevent police abuse of its power to seize private property on mere suspicion of being linked to any criminal investigation. Though more restrained in Arkansas, social activism and political reform grew throughout the Roaring Twenties. | On that ballot, this figure was 135,517 votes, so it was ruled that at least 67,758 votes in favor would have been required for the measure to pass, essentially counting blank votes as votes against. In 1986, Hutchinson ran against incumbent Democratic U.S. senator and former governor Dale Bumpers. Well, not yet at least by our definition. The last two Democratic candidates to win the state were from the South, Jimmy Carter, the former governor of Georgia, in 1976, and Bill Clinton, then the governor of Arkansas, in 1992, and again in 1996. But Rockefeller's withdrawal and death from a blood disorder in early 2006 led to Hutchinson winning the primary. In 1968, Richard Nixon ran as the Republican, Hubert H. Humphrey ran as the Democrat, and George Wallace ran under the American Independent Party and won Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, and Mississippi. Chart. However, in that year he gave $1,000 to Arkansas Democrat and former U.S. Sen. Blanche. Senator Don Nickles, and a private-equity firm that had former CIA Director James Woolsey among its partners. As a result, by December 2018, almost 17,000 Arkansans had lost their Medicaid health insurance, with reapplication available in the new calendar year. [6] Republicans such as Governor Powell Clayton were appointed to state office, to the chagrin of Confederate veterans and sympathizers. Huckabee, who would win his own election as governor in 1998, was the first Republican governor to share some of the personal dynamism of the Big Three, suggesting that Huckabee could become an effective proponent of Republican development in the state. Asa Hutchinson says a national abortion ban floated by McConnell is 'inconsistent with what we've been fighting for', "Former Arkansas Republican Gov. As seen in the previous states, this support has dropped from previous levels of between 56% and 66%. Hutchinson served as a house manager (prosecutor) in the impeachment trial of Bill Clinton. Tim Hutchinson also won his campaign for the U.S. Senate and served one term, losing his reelection bid in 2002. The Democratss electoral difficulties continued as they lost Pryors Senate seat and the lieutenant governorship in 1996. For example, after John Sebastian Little resigned in 1907, 3 senate presidents acted as governor before the next elected governor took office. [33], The Arkansas Constitution of 1836 established four-year terms for governors,[34] which was lowered to two years in the 1874, and current, constitution. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his national popular vote win of 4.5 percentage points. 2016 saw a slight wavering in Republican support in Utah, at 45.5% of the vote. After the election, Republicans controlled one of two U.S. Senate seats, three of four U.S. House seats, three state constitutional offices, and over forty percent of legislative seats. Sourcing indicates that Fulton served until Conway's inauguration. Examples of Redeemers in Arkansas include Governor Jeff Davis. Asa Hutchinson announces 2024 presidential run", "Task Force on Detainee Treatment Launched", "Think tank plans study of how US treats detainees", NRA "school safety" plan calls for trained, armed school staff, "Davy Carter won't make race for governor", "Multiple Republican Governors Say They Oppose the Entry of Syrian Refugees", "Arkansas' governor opens up about his rapid execution schedule", "Arkansas' governor is 'fighting back' to execute five men in 10 days. Major support provided through a partnership with the Arkansas Department of Parks & Tourism. Ballotpedia's analysis revealed that only 42 of the 100 seats up for election in 2016 involved competition between Democrats and Republicans. Major funding provided by the Winthrop Rockefeller Foundation. If you can, provide 1-2 sources of information backing up this correction. In 2016, 60% of the total votes were cast early. [14] The most notable example was the northwest part of the state's support of George Wallace for President, Republican Winthrop Rockefeller for governor, and Democrat J. William Fulbright for Senate in 1968. Read our Privacy Policy. [14][15] He added, "I think he did a lot of good things for our country, but we need to go a different direction". Hutchinson led the task force. Empirically, weve found that this blend of a few different elections yields the most accurate expression of a places true partisanship. Politico asked some Republican and former Republicans about the current primary field as Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) toys with whether to jump into the race or not. In a bad year for the GOP nationally, Hutchinson garnered the largest margin of victory for a Republican candidate in Arkansas history. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. But the Republican candidate, Winthrop Rockefeller, differed dramatically from those in his party who began to be elected in other Southern states. The state seceded during the Civil War and did not participate in the 1864 election. Black voters followed in subsequent elections, leaving the Republican Party in its traditional and feeble role, except in the states northwest corner. Before statehood, Arkansas politics was dominated by a small group known by a variety of names, most commonly The Family. This Johnson-Conway-Sevier-Rector cousinhood accumulated 190 years of public office-holding, including two U.S. senators and three governors in antebellum Arkansas; other offices went only to their partisans. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. Conway was out of state in 1857, and president of the Senate. [36] Governors were originally limited only to serving no more than eight out of every twelve years,[34] but the 1874 constitution removed any term limit. Hutchinson is a Republican candidate for president of the United States in 2024 . What Is The IUCN Red List? [34] In March 2021, Hutchinson signed into law legislation that would allow doctors to refuse non-emergency medical treatment to LGBT people based on moral objection.
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